Author: Jiang Tao (academic member of the Ward Research Institute)
Trump wants to return the manufacturing industry to the United States,So as to achieve the goal of "making the United States great again".Helplessly, the re -election in the 2020s failed, and sinking.
In 2024, Trump returned to the White House strongly, and he would inevitably achieve the goal of manufacturing to return to the United States. Regarding whether Trump can revitalize the manufacturing industry in the United States, relevant domestic departments and experts and scholars generally believe that it is impossible to achieve. Their reasons are nothing more than two: First, the American industry is hollow and loses the industrial foundation of returning.Second, the cost of manufacturing in the United States, especially the cost of labor, is very high, and has lost its competitive advantage. And I think this is a serious misjudgment of the United States, especially the ambition to Trumps strategy. I judged that In Trumps four years, the manufacturing industry in the United States will not only return, but also return strongly. Although he cannot complete the task of returning to the United States in all manufacturing industries, at least it can lay a solid foundation for the United States to revitalize the manufacturing industry again.I made this basis for this judgment.
One is that Trumps extremely persistence and great power. Trump is the person who knows the root of the United States and is committed to saving the United States.His supporters believe that Trump is the president who pays most attention to his commitment.In the second presidential term, he will definitely strengthen this image in the minds of Americans.Trump saw the internal emptiness caused by the capitalization of over -finance in the United States, so one of his specific steps of "making the United States great again" is to return the manufacturing industry to the United States.In addition, the Republican Party is about to control the two courts of the Republic of China, and also has an advantage in the Supreme Court and state elections. Trump has become the most powerful president in American history.His persistence and huge power will definitely promote the revitalization of the US manufacturing industry.
The other is that Musks strong support is important. Musk made a good contribution to Trumps victory, and he will also make great contributions to the return of the US manufacturing industry.Musk is not only a capital investor, but also the leader of the industry. He led the development of scientific and technological with the innovative ability of the earth people. He knew the decline of the manufacturing industry in the United States, but also determined to change this situation.
According to Fox News, Trump said when he talked about Musk: "He doesnt want to enter the cabinet. He just wants to reduce costs." " We will set up a new newPosition -cutting cost minister . Elon wants to cut costs, we have such excellent talents.It has not attracted great attention from relevant domestic departments.
Whether the manufacturing industry can return to the United States again, saying that simple points are cost issues.Musk will use his superb wisdom and high -tech advantages in the United States to replace high costs in a wider range of fields, making the cost of American manufacturing far lower than other countries, of course, including China.At this point, Musk has done in the field of aerospace.This will be a huge challenge to the world.
To this end, we must pay great attention, make early preparations, and actively respond.It is recommended to take the following four response measures. First, we must increase capital investment in high -end manufacturing. In the field of high -end manufacturing, we must get rid of the blind confidence in "China Having Human Human costs low."Not to mention that our labor costs are increasing year by year, and no matter how low the labor cost is, it is not as low as a one -time investment in AI technology and the cost of smart robots.Therefore, the 10 trillion economic stimulus plan that China has just passed, in addition to resolving local government debt and ensuring peoples livelihood investment, must increase investment in the intelligent upgrade of high -end manufacturing.The foundation of the invincible place. The second is to increase the guarantee of general employment positions. The level of mechanization and intelligence of high -end manufacturing industries will inevitably reduce the number of employees in these areas. The state needs to adopt necessary policies and measures in advance to guide the surplus personnel to transform from human -intensive tertiary industries and emerging industries.Ensure that the national living standards and happiness indexes are steady, maintaining social stability and long -term stability.
Third, we must advance judgment and closely track the development trend of the US manufacturing industry. Knowing the confidant can fight all the best.We must predict the development direction of the US manufacturing industry in advance and the impact on my countrys manufacturing industry as soon as possible to formulate effective response measures as soon as possible.It is necessary to give play to the institutional advantages of my countrys concentrated energy to do major events, weaken the rainbow absorption effect of the return of the US manufacturing industry, so as to ensure that the dominant status of my countrys manufacturing industry is not shaken.This is a major issue that is related to the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. Fourth, Musk must focus on Musk himself, and to avoid harm. It can be said that China helped him in Musks most difficult time. Musk was also the most friendly among the large American capitalists to China, maintaining a smooth and close connection with the Chinese political community.He can be an important channel for China to communicate with the Trump administration. We must use his value to play its role.At the same time, it is necessary to increase the research on Musk, so that we can master the development measures and trends of the US manufacturing industry from another angle, so that we can deal with it in a target.
(The pictures in the text are from the Internet, if there is any infringement and delete)
November 10, 2024 was written in Shenyang.
