Source: ""(November 12, 2024 Edition 01)
Through the" shape "of data, understand the" potential "of development.The front page of "Peoples Daily" today launched the Golden Societys article "Dry Two -characters, and the Treasury City to achieve about five percent of the expected goal confidence" pointed out that "stability" and "enter" are still the main tone of the Chinese economy."Confidence is enhancing", but confidence will not fall from the sky.Cultivation, growing, and hard work in the hard work.To boost confidence, first "boost the entrepreneurial spirit of party members, cadres and officers", or that sentence: dry words and the city.
Time enters November.
"There are less than two months left this year, and various tasks, especially economic work, must be further practical and strive to achieve the annual economic and social development goals." General Secretary Xi Jinping, Secretary Xi JinpingDuring the inspection in Hubei a few days ago, pointed out.
Since the meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on September 26, Fujian and Anhui Investigation, the provincial and ministerial seminar opening classes, General Secretary Xi Jinping emphasized the efforts to achieve the annual economic and social developmentTarget.
What is the current situation?
"The confidence of achieving a target of about 5%is enhanced." At the "Three Seasons" press conference, the National Bureau of Statistics made this judgment.
From the data to the confidence -the bottom is stable and the prosperity rises.
50.1%, and the just released October China Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) returned to the expansion range, which opened the Chinese economy in the fourth quarter.
Only looking at the year -on -year growth rate of GDP, 5.3%in the first quarter, 4.7%in the second quarter, and 4.6%in the third quarter.However, from a month -on -month perspective, in the third quarter, it has increased by 0.9%, which has maintained positive growth for nine consecutive quarters.
After the "Three Seasons" was released, many foreign institutions raised Chinas economic growth forecast. Goldman Sachs raised Chinas GDP growth forecast in 2024 from 4.7%to 4.9%.Zhu Haibin, chief economist of Morgan Chase, believes that Chinas economic growth momentum has recovered moderately at the end of the third quarter, and domestic activity indicators in September generally exceed market expectations.
"The growth rate of 4.8%in the first three quarters was not easy, laying a solid foundation for achieving the annual goals." Sheng Laiyun, deputy director of the National Bureau of Statistics.
In general, "stability" and "enter" are still the main tone of the Chinese economy.
On the one hand, the steady foundation is more solid.The four major macro indicators of growth, employment, inflation, and international revenue and expenditure show that the economic operation is generally stable and stable. "These have provided a good foundation for Chinas macroeconomic toughness." Fan Zhiyong, a professor at the School of Economics, Renmin University of China.
On the one hand, the momentum of advancement is increasing.The growth rate of high -tech industries and the added value of high -tech manufacturing has a significant level.The more high -tech, high -efficiency, high -quality characteristics, the better the development.
From the perspective of reform -policy, reform and effort.
Read the "Three Seasons", "the focus of highlighting the reform of the economic system" is distinguished.
Huimin, promote consumption, and stabilize the property market.At the end of October, the financial policy of a 150 million residents was described, and the amount of interest rates for stock mortgages would reduce the burden of about 150 billion yuan per year.
Synchronization, the Peoples Bank of China reform and improved mechanism, borrowers can independently negotiate with banks and dynamically adjust mortgage interest rates.
An incremental policy since late September, benefits the current, Hui Changyuan."This is a milestone in macro -control." Said Dong Yu, executive deputy dean of the China Development Planning Research Institute of Tsinghua University.
The stock policy and incremental policy, which both have the "strategies" of macro -control counter -cyclical regulation, as well as the "strategies" of deepening reforms that improve the quality of medium and long -term development.The socialist market economy system is promoted to modern Chinese -style modernization.
"The new development concept is formed in the reform, and the disadvantages of ideological concepts and institutional mechanisms that affect and restrict high -quality development are broken in reform. Effective improvement of economic development and effective improvement and qualityThe reasonable growth of quantitatives has also been gradually realized during the reform. "General Secretary Xi Jinping deeply pointed out.
Further comprehensively deepen the reform of the reform, the economic system reform is the "cow nose" that "moves the whole body".
The construction of "two" has been accelerated.Unity, adhere to the dialectical unification of breakthroughs, adhere to the unity of reform and opening up, and deal with the relationship between deployment and implementation. The combination of "policy -based" and "reform forces" is strong and effective.
Reform and strong confidence, and develop motivation.
On October 10, the Apple Application Laboratory, which invested over 1 billion yuan, was completed and operated in Futian District, Shenzhen, Guangdong.As one of the earliest urban areas in Shenzhen, Futian District has encountered "troubles" such as insufficient space and rising costs earlier.
Break through the bottleneck, Futian District targets the development of new productivity to develop new quality according to local conditions.Establish an intellectual property rights right protection center, and artificial intelligence government affairs 24 hours online office ... Reform promotes the development of new economic development. The number of specialized new "little giants" here has increased by more than 8 times.More than 4 times.
Productivity determines production relations.The development of new quality productivity must further deepen reforms and form a new type of production relationship that is compatible with it.The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed that it is necessary to improve the development of a new productivity system and mechanism for the development of local conditions.A package of incremental policies will accelerate the development of new quality productivity.
The policy landing and reform are in place to support the development of new space for new productivity.In the first three quarters, the value -added of information transmission, software and information technology services increased by 11.3%.Scientific and technological innovation releases new momentum and has become a distinctive feature of Chinas economy.
China has a large -scale and most increased potential market.In September, the monthly production and sales of new energy vehicles reached a record high, and the large -scale market can better cover the cost of R & D investment, and the cost of trial and error.
On the first day of the Expo, the buyer Shanghai Nuoyin Electromechanical Technology Co., Ltd. won the $ 50 million procurement order to enhance the core competitiveness of semiconductors, automobiles and other fields.Follow the charm of a large -scale market in China.
A large number of incremental policies "on the road".The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that increasing policy measures are being implemented one after another, and new incremental policies are also studying reserves."With the continuous results of the policy effect, the annual economy will show the trend of the front, low, and low," said Huang Hanquan, the president of the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research.
The valid market and the government "use both hands", the top -level design echo the grassroots creation.Solid the effectiveness of reform allows China to be more capable of achieving the goal of economic and social development throughout the year.
From the perspective of the companys confidence -expected improvement, the vitality is enhanced.
In September, the growth rate of industrial added value above designated size rose for the first time after 4 consecutive months;
October, production and operation activities expectThe index is nearly 4 months high;
In October, the transaction of commercial housing achieved "dual growth" from the previous month and the month -on -month.>
Through these data, it can be seen that the overall expansion of production and operation activities has accelerated, and positive economic operations have increased.
Thanks to the policy support of the tax department, from January to September, Shandong Zepu Medical Technology Co., Ltd. enjoyed more than 2.3 million yuan in taxes and fees."All the money was invested in innovative research and development. In September this year, the company was selected as a national specialized new little giant." Said the financial director Shan Wenling.
From the perspective of national conditions, in the first three quarters, the tax reduction and tax refund of scientific and technological innovation and manufacturing development exceeded 2 trillion yuan.The year -on -year growth rate of income reached 11.4%.
A group of intelligent flexible production lines have just been put into use."The rapid development of artificial intelligence has brought a large number of orders, and the new production line has made the product delivery." Said Liang Dongbing, the person in charge of the base.
The same is true of foreign companies.Germany Mercedes -Benz Group recently announced that it plans to invest over 14 billion yuan in China with Chinese partners."Germanys continued rising investment in China shows long -term confidence in Chinas economy." Said Dennis Depp, co -president of the Roland Berg Global Management Committee.
The market economy is the expected economy and confidence economy.Enterprises are confident and economy has momentum.Under the policy "warm wind", more and more enterprises have accelerated the pace of transformation and released development vitality.
"The current is a big change in the worlds century. In such an era, more of the dawn of the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation."Deep thinking about crisis and opportunities.Looking at the economic situation with such dialectics and doing good economic work, it is important.
"Confidence is increasing", but confidence will not fall from the sky.Cultivation, growing, and hard work in the hard work.To boost confidence, first "boost the entrepreneurial spirit of party members, cadres and officers", or that sentence: dry words and the city.
