macro level
Macro -favorable increase, re -reduced interest rates after downgrading.At present, the overseas situation is relatively clear, and the Federal Reserve ’s interest rate hike cycle has announced the end. The focus of the market is when to cut interest rates.The optimistic expectations of interest rate cuts in March have been denied. As the US inflation data is not as expected during the Spring Festival, the current point of the interest rate reduction has also been postponed again. With the correction of optimism, U.S. stocks have also fallen slightly.In the recent decline in the domestic down its standards, the national team rescue the market, and the market, the stock indexes have rebounded continuously.After the Spring Festival, the five -year interest rate of LPR has been reduced again, and the expectations of the overshide market also highlight the determination of management to stabilize the economy and stabilize real estate.At present, the market sentiment has been basically stable, and the stock indexes have stabilized to rebound, but the reversal is too early.The fundamental reason is that the current foundation of the economic recovery is not consolidated. Many domestic macro indicators are still in the process of finding the bottom. Although there are signs of marginal improvement, trending reversal signals still need to wait.Spot market: Stable and strong, emotional repair
Todays 15 cities are strong in price shocks.The transaction price increased by 1 from the previous trading day.Among them, the highest Guangzhou 4060, the minimum Chongqing 3750, the difference between the height is 310.
Phase Sail Trend AnalyThe overall is strong. From a technical point of view, it is mainly due to the 60 -minute level of MACD departing from the bottom of the MACD, but the overall rebound is still suppressed by the downlink trend line.The current performance is still difficult to form stable optimism expectations, and the short -term is still dominated by the weak fluctuation.
The macro surface, recently favorable, domestic currency loose strength has gradually increased, and the interest rate reduction after the reduction is reduced. The policy of policy with the real estate financing side is also more positive.However, just to boost the policy, without the support of the actual fundamental improvement, it is often difficult to continue for a long time.Because the domestic economy is still in the process of recovery, and a wave of twists and turns, the investment end is still weakened, the real estate has not seen significantly, and the performance of infrastructure is lower than expected.At this stage, various macro indicators are still found, and the policy boosting effect is often poor.In summary, steel prices are deepened by real estate. Due to the requirements of debt, some local infrastructure projects are also affected. The overall market demand is still weak. After the macro is boosted, the market continuity lacks support.At present, the snails still have not stepped out of the right signal. It is recommended to wait and see.
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